Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.035119 0.040914 0.047292 0.054820 0.063452 0.073030 0.084452
2025-08-24 0.026684 0.034296 0.043444 0.055207 0.069884 0.087543 0.110348
2025-08-31 0.020377 0.028571 0.039213 0.053951 0.073725 0.099211 0.134404
2025-09-07 0.017213 0.026042 0.038308 0.056420 0.082268 0.117575 0.169137
2025-09-14 0.014187 0.023019 0.036068 0.056486 0.087286 0.131586 0.199566
2025-09-21 0.011532 0.019975 0.033184 0.054986 0.089585 0.141737 0.225418
2025-09-28 0.009672 0.017795 0.031189 0.054398 0.092962 0.153589 0.254823
2025-10-05 0.008844 0.017163 0.031530 0.057510 0.102434 0.175678 0.302242
2025-10-12 0.007979 0.016295 0.031303 0.059560 0.110290 0.195861 0.348518
2025-10-19 0.006750 0.014521 0.029185 0.057939 0.111539 0.205072 0.377295
2025-10-26 0.005866 0.013253 0.027789 0.057394 0.114538 0.217426 0.412467
2025-11-02 0.004996 0.011852 0.025913 0.055643 0.115024 0.225256 0.440209
2025-11-09 0.004281 0.010668 0.024325 0.054298 0.116235 0.234737 0.472340
2025-11-16 0.003792 0.009898 0.023479 0.054344 0.120176 0.249708 0.516195
2025-11-23 0.003261 0.008929 0.022047 0.052941 0.120976 0.258666 0.549336
2025-11-30 0.003060 0.008730 0.022312 0.055280 0.129881 0.284499 0.618070
2025-12-07 0.002735 0.008150 0.021599 0.055301 0.133763 0.300474 0.668353
2025-12-14 0.002369 0.007384 0.020318 0.053809 0.134086 0.309036 0.704074
2025-12-21 0.002098 0.006828 0.019467 0.053223 0.136381 0.321966 0.750103
2025-12-28 0.002025 0.006829 0.020048 0.056266 0.147515 0.355145 0.842582
2026-01-04 0.001910 0.006682 0.020215 0.058273 0.156373 0.384032 0.928039
2026-01-11 0.001667 0.006089 0.019069 0.056683 0.156216 0.392458 0.968478
2026-01-18 0.001492 0.005672 0.018354 0.056148 0.158633 0.407023 1.024095